Saturday, December 22, 2018

The nice face of separation from Tory Premier of New Brunswick.


1. The Conservative thrust: Do away with transfer payments. (this has been a complaint of the US for the past 20 years)
2. He fails to mention the low prices were agreed upon with the US by Ralph Klein and Ron Liepert!  They didn't just happen nor was it market driven.
3, Quebec has a very larger surplus of electricity from it's aqua-generation facilities which the US doesn't want because it has re opened it's nuclear facilities.  Quebec wants to ship the electricity to Alberta and East to BC and to the American West.  Our power, is owned by the cities and is basically a form of indirect taxation.  We can't change!  This is why we don't have a national energy strategy.
4. Energy east is predicated on the use of a Natural Gas pipeline to move oil.  Essentially, to replace the pipeline.  Not a bad idea, the right of way is worth more than the pipeline.
5. Legault is another trying to break up Canada with contentious statements and stands.  Alberta is always quick to anger that is fostered by the LDS in southern Alberta.
6. Post Media, the Montreal Gazette and the New Brunswick papers all controlled or influenced by Bell Media company blocked posts that were contrary to the Conservatives.   This now leaves the door open for those 3 elections to be set aside because of tampering by a foreign entity. (Bell Media) and new elections called.
FREDERICTON — The rookie Tory premier of New Brunswick has declared the Canadian federation fractured — with Ottawa and other provinces seemingly unconcerned about Alberta's slump, and Quebec actively blocking economic development.

Blaine Higgs says he was shocked at the recent First Ministers meeting in Montreal to find there is no national urgency or strategy to deal with the 70-per-cent devaluation of oil in Alberta.
 Here's a province that has fed many of our kids for years and we've all been happy to be recipients of that transfer payment. I'm not proud of that fact, and I would like to develop the very industry that they have," Higgs said in a year-end interview with The Canadian Press.

"But for us in that meeting, not to have that as the focal point a crisis in our country, as a serious impact on Alberta and potentially a serious impact on all of us, like it was just another day."
Higgs is pushing to revive the cancelled $15.7 billion Energy East pipeline project that would have moved western crude to refineries in Eastern Canada and an export terminal in Saint John, N.B., but Quebec Premier Francois Legault is opposed to it passing through his province.
Legault recently provoked the ire of western Canadians when he said there was "no social acceptability" in his province for a "dirty energy" pipeline from Alberta.
His comments drew rebukes from pundits and western leaders such as Alberta Premier Rachel Notley, who said Legault "needs to get off his high horse."
Higgs, a former oil executive, is proposing that federal transfer payments be cut to force provinces to develop their natural resources.
"Here's Premier Legault getting an increase, a cheque of more than $13 billion out of the $19 billion in transfer payments, and no real sense of urgency," Higgs said.
He said that as a result of devalued oil, Alberta is losing $80 million a day, and all the provinces — including New Brunswick — should share in the pain through cuts in transfers.
"We should cut what goes to each province, based on our ability to get the resource to market," he said.
Higgs said the debate over Energy East demonstrates how the federation is fractured.
"So with Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Ontario and ourselves — we are very much aligned — and Quebec in the middle in this case for transportation from west to east is not only disappointing, it's really shocking," he said. "I saw a willingness through every province but I didn't see that willingness in Quebec."
Higgs said there should be a utility corridor across the country that could house pipelines, power transmission lines, and communication systems. He said, like the national railway, it would be a right-of-way through the country.
Higgs said another area where the federation is fractured is with the way provinces are being treated differently by Ottawa when it comes to the carbon tax, which goes into effect next year. He said it is far from a level playing field, because the provinces are being asked to meet the same targets despite starting from different carbon-emission levels.
New Brunswick is an intervener in legal challenges launched by Saskatchewan and Ontario and has launched its own legal challenge of the carbon tax.
He said the proposed federal backstop — the tax Ottawa will impose in provinces without their own carbon taxes — puts New Brunswick at a disadvantage, and if it remains in place, New Brunswickers will be paying the country's highest tax on gasoline by 2022.
Higgs won a minority government in this fall's election, having run on a platform of fiscal responsibility. The Liberals tried to cling to power, but were defeated in a confidence vote on their throne speech after the three members of the upstart People's Alliance party agreed to support the Tories on confidence votes for at least 18 months.
Looking out his office window at the spectacular view of the provincial legislature and the Saint John River, Higgs said he doesn't take his time as premier for granted.
"I took a picture of the view because I could only be here a short time," he said.
Higgs, a 64-year-old engineer and former finance minister, was hired by Irving Oil a week after he graduated from the University of New Brunswick. He was eventually promoted to director of distribution, overseeing oil transportation across eastern Canada and New England.
Higgs said he needs to administer some tough fiscal medicine right away in order to get quick results. He points to his decision to slash $265 million from capital spending plans the previous Liberal government had in place.
"I do want to make things happen in a hurry, but that's kind of my nature. I like to look at an issue, look at the facts, and then get on with it, and not spend time going around and around."
He is vowing to balance the budget in the spring in an effort to avoid a downgrade of the province's credit rating.
"I do not want to pay more interest. I would rather have $25-30 million a year going into service delivery than interest payments," Higgs said.
Higgs said the province's finances and the creation of a customer service focus for government are his priorities for 2019.

From <https://www.princegeorgecitizen.com/canadian-federation-is-fractured-new-brunswick-s-rookie-premier-says-1.23553129

Friday, December 21, 2018

China's efforts in climate change.

I see many items of comment about why we should do more when China is a big problem?
I answer these posts with China's Twin Gorges Dam which has put hundreds of coal-burning plants into shutdown.  Also, I point out they have the best electrical distribution system in the world enabling the whole country to take advantage of Twin Gorges generation.

Here is an important article from a North American oil magazine.
https://oilprice.com/Energy/Natural-Gas/China-Determined-To-Avoid-Another-Natural-Gas-Crisis.html>
Last winter, China gobbled up spot cargoes to meet soaring natural gas demand in freezing temperatures, upending the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market, which was thought to be on the verge of oversupply just a year ago.

The Chinese coal-to-gas switch policy for millions of households backfired with severe gas shortages last winter, lifting domestic Chinese LNG prices to more than US$20/mmBtu and driving Asian spot LNG prices up.

This winter, China’s authorities are determined to avoid another natural gas supply crunch. And they are handling supplies much better than past winter—domestic natural gas production is rising, state energy giants are boosting gas pipeline infrastructure and connectivity, and the coal-to-gas switch is more measured and moderate, taking into account expectations of demand.

Chinese natural gas imports are soaring, but procurement for this winter’s demand started early to avoid a last-minute rush and a repeat of the 2017-2018 winter. China’s natural gas storage tanks are close to full. The element of surprise that pushed LNG prices soaring last winter has been eliminated.

This year, weather is also in favor of Chinese authorities. Milder weather a month into the heating season and forecasts for a milder-than-usual winter have led to expectations that China won’t see another supply crunch between December and February.

As a result, spot LNG prices in Asia fell last week to their lowest level in six months, with spot prices for January delivery down US$1 in one week to US$8.80/mmBtu—the lowest price since May this year and down from last year for the first time in 2018. That’s because demand is softer, storage is nearly full, and buyers from China to South Korea to Japan had moved in as early as in September and October to procure LNG cargoes to avoid last year’s rush and surging market prices. A drop in spot LNG prices in Asia is not typical for the winter season in the northern hemisphere. Related: Citi: Oil Prices Are Going Nowhere Next Year

Prices and natural gas demand soared last winter as China was scrambling to procure supplies in a colder-than-usual season. The authorities had to backtrack on the coal ban in some areas to ease the crunch.

This year, milder weather has surely helped, but China started to carefully plan supply, as soon as last winter’s season ended.
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