Monday, April 15, 2019

Misinformation put out by UCP and Jason Kenny.

Trish Horobec
One more election-related post because it’s important - and then sleep.
From a very impressive friend regarding the lies and bs slung by the UCP in Alberta.
UPDATE: This post has been edited to add references, just in case anyone asks for them. A lot of this information has been gained through months and years of following this stuff so not every single thing I mention has been sourced, as I can't always retrace my steps to find it all. But the references I have added should do the trick.
So I've been on a tear lately digging into lots of facts and statistics to counter a lot of misinformation I'm seeing during this election. I thought some of you might be interested in seeing this collection of disparate but loosely connected corrections.
1) Misinformation/Obfuscation #1
We currently have only 46% of the oil rigs we had in 2014 and it's all Rachel Notley's Fault. I've seen this one attached to a bar graph which "demonstrates" that drop.
Truth #1: While we do currently have 46% of the number of oil rigs in Alberta that we had in 2014, the drop happened pre-NDP. As of April 10, 2015, there were only 60 active oil rigs in Alberta. This is immediately preceding the NDP taking power. A better way to detail our current state is to say that, with 144 oil rigs and counting, our current government has increased the number of oil rigs in the province from PC days by more than 200%.
2) Misinformation/Obfuscation #2: The NDP took a province with no debt and built a debt of $70 billion dollars.
Truth #2: While yes, our debt in Alberta is currently hovering around that number, the province was not debt-free when the NDP took over. In fact, in the 12 months preceding the NDP taking power in 2015, the PC government accrued close to $12 billion worth of debt. This is a very similar debt load to that accrued each year by the NDP. Certainly, this level of debt is not ideal, but the economic challenges being faced by the NDP have been unprecedented. During their 4 years in power, they faced the largest and most expensive natural disaster in Canadian history. (Fort Mac)
3) Misinformation/Obfuscation #3: The NDP has destroyed industry while increasing a "bloated" public sector in a way that has never happened before. I have often seen this comment attached to a statistic (from the Fraser Institute) of something like 85,000 new public sector jobs during the NDP's tenure.
Truth #3: For that statistic to be true, the NDP government would need to be creating 60 public sector jobs every single day for the entire four years they have been in power.
In actuality, a total of 28,000 full-time equivalent positions were created between 2015 and 2019. Which is pretty much in line with the average increase during PC days. Between the years of 2008 and 2012, around 25,000 public sector jobs were created in Alberta.
You may need to adjust the data parameters but:…
4) Misinformation/Obfuscation #4: The NDP is terrible at fiscal management and can't budget.
Truth #4: The NDP made a conscious decision to accept the economic consequences of prioritizing social service supports instead of balancing the "budget", in the face of the largest recession this province has seen in decades. But, to get down to brass tacks, my research has indicated that for each year the NDP have been governing this province, their actual expenses have been within about 1% of their projected budget for the year.
This one takes a bunch of digging into budget projections and comparing to end of year spending reports. Let me know if you need data on this and I will try and help.
5) Misinformation/Obfuscation #5: The NDP introduced a carbon tax that they did not campaign on, and they did it for no reason.
Truth #5: This is mostly true, except (!) they didn't campaign on it because they weren't planning on it. When faced with negotiations over the pipeline with the federal government, the NDP was basically given no choice but to introduce a carbon tax if they wanted to get federal support for the pipeline.
Lots of articles on this but here’s one I found:
6) Misinformation/Obfuscation #6: If Kenney is voted in, he will get rid of the carbon tax immediately.
Truth #6: This one is especially egregious because it's not a real thing that can happen. If Kenney cancels the provincial carbon tax, the federal carbon tax will come into effect. Which means that instead of all of that levy money coming from Albertans going back into Albertan projects and Albertans' pockets, the levy money will be paid to the federal government. And while the federal government is supposed to distribute those funds back into the province they came from, do Albertans who already don't trust the federal government truly believe that the federal government will send that money back to us?
7) Misinformation/Obfuscation #7: Kenney will be able to successfully challenge the federal carbon tax.
Truth #7: Nope, he won't.
Actually, though, Albertans will pay a lot of money to a lot of lawyers (some estimate upwards of 1,000 lawyers) to launch this lawsuit. But ultimately, the federal government is well within their jurisdiction to introduce a federal tax, and the legal challenge will ultimately be unsuccessful and a huge waste of our money.
Here is a very lengthy analysis of the constitutional validity of a carbon tax. Enjoy:…
8 ) Misinformation/Obfuscation #8: Kenney will hold a referendum to determine if Albertans want him to challenge equalization payments. This will then make the federal government reconsider and treat Albertans better.
Truth #8: Wanna buy some magic beans?
He is promising to spend a bunch of money to ask Albertans a question and then tell the federal government to do as we ask. I thought we don't trust the federal government?
But also, if Kenney didn't like the formula for equalization payments when the federal government decided on it, maybe he should have put up a fuss about it when he was part of the sitting federal government that chose it!
This is not the best source for this, but it is a quick rundown of the history of equalization payment evaluation, and Kenney's role in it:…/the-equalization-history-that-jason…/
9) Misinformation/Obfuscation #9: Alberta spends more per capita on health care than almost any other province and it's all the NDP's fault.
Truth #9: While it is true that we do rank among the highest in health care spending, there are a ton of reasons for that. Doctor's salaries in Alberta being higher than almost any other provinces - this is a fact that has been true for a very long time, going way back into PC days.
Also, while we spend the most per capita on the health of all the provinces, we typically have the lowest percentage of our provincial GDP spent on health, and we are average when it comes to the percentage of our overall provincial expenditures that goes to health care.
Health care stats:…
What I find more interesting is that we consistently have a below average percentage of physicians who are women compared to the rest of the country. But I digress.
All of this very long post is to say, there is a ton of misinformation out there right now and I implore you to just google and confirm the things you read. Find the statistics in their original home, not biased interpretations like the Fraser Institute. And if you want to talk politics with other people in the hopes of swaying someone's opinion, please arm yourselves with real, confirmed facts and figures.

Sunday, March 24, 2019

Post Media interfearing with the election process.

Post Media (Bell Media control) is interfearing with the Canadian election process by blocking comment which may be contrary to the Conservative BS being peddled.  Post are putting our inaccurate and inflamiatory stories, taking polls from Calgary south and calling them provincial polls and not allowing any challange to the same inaccurate, even lies, stories.

Bell Media  is in charge of post media and our  ip providers.  Brought into
Canada by Stephen Harper on his promise to "change Canada so we would never recognize it"

Warned of the situation in advance the NDP chose to go along with Bell Media in the new G5 networks build.   They were betrayed by their contractarl tech people.  With this vested bias, Post Media (Financial Post) (Edmonton Journal) cannot be trusted on their Financial Information.

Huawei is superior to the Bell Media G5 in many ways.  It is being used by Telus in Alberta and is the Government choice in the BC interior.  Huawei has shown no evidence of inteference in Canadian politcs!

Friday, March 08, 2019

Post Media (Bell Media) are still messing with Canada's and Alberta's election system!

How it works; after jamming me a new sign in seemed to be in order.   The new sign in worked fine and their icons show me as being signed in.

However, when it comes time to post against their misinformation put out by the Conservatives, my posts are not allowed and the demand to sign in before posting doesn't work.

This has to go on the record as a testimony to the vulnerability and exploitation of our system by #Bell Media, a US firm brought into Canada by Stephen #Harper for the sole purpose of screwing up our electoral system!

Sunday, January 06, 2019

Bell Media group still interfering in Canadian politics.

Have you noticed the onslaught of US stories on our Media? And, where did Canadian content go to?
I was in Inuvik NWT when the Kent State university riots took place. I listened to the America radio channel and would switch off to the Russian News frequency.
Both media feeds were putting forward the same, exact information! What was different was the shape of the stories. Listening to the US news you would think it was all the fault of the protesters. Listening to the Russian news you would believe it is all the fault of the US Government.
I tell you this because the same thing is happening today in the delivery of the news by the Bell Media newsgroup. They inevitably show the Conservatives as owning the high ground, being in the right. And the Liberals as being under siege because of policy.
Another thing they are promoting is the inclusion of town hall meetings like they have in the US. In Canada we have the Gazette system. This is true of the provinces also. Gazette 1 puts forward the proposed laws and changes to the existing laws. Gazette 2 puts forward the decision made after this hearing and the replies from citizens with their objections and support items included, in print. This is a far superior system to the US “shout them down” town-hall meetings. This is the LDS at work from Southern Alberta in their blind support for the Republicans!

Something has to be done to dissolve the controls of Bell Media in Canada!

Saturday, December 22, 2018

The nice face of separation from Tory Premier of New Brunswick.

1. The Conservative thrust: Do away with transfer payments. (this has been a complaint of the US for the past 20 years)
2. He fails to mention the low prices were agreed upon with the US by Ralph Klein and Ron Liepert!  They didn't just happen nor was it market driven.
3, Quebec has a very larger surplus of electricity from it's aqua-generation facilities which the US doesn't want because it has re opened it's nuclear facilities.  Quebec wants to ship the electricity to Alberta and East to BC and to the American West.  Our power, is owned by the cities and is basically a form of indirect taxation.  We can't change!  This is why we don't have a national energy strategy.
4. Energy east is predicated on the use of a Natural Gas pipeline to move oil.  Essentially, to replace the pipeline.  Not a bad idea, the right of way is worth more than the pipeline.
5. Legault is another trying to break up Canada with contentious statements and stands.  Alberta is always quick to anger that is fostered by the LDS in southern Alberta.
6. Post Media, the Montreal Gazette and the New Brunswick papers all controlled or influenced by Bell Media company blocked posts that were contrary to the Conservatives.   This now leaves the door open for those 3 elections to be set aside because of tampering by a foreign entity. (Bell Media) and new elections called.
FREDERICTON — The rookie Tory premier of New Brunswick has declared the Canadian federation fractured — with Ottawa and other provinces seemingly unconcerned about Alberta's slump, and Quebec actively blocking economic development.

Blaine Higgs says he was shocked at the recent First Ministers meeting in Montreal to find there is no national urgency or strategy to deal with the 70-per-cent devaluation of oil in Alberta.
 Here's a province that has fed many of our kids for years and we've all been happy to be recipients of that transfer payment. I'm not proud of that fact, and I would like to develop the very industry that they have," Higgs said in a year-end interview with The Canadian Press.

"But for us in that meeting, not to have that as the focal point a crisis in our country, as a serious impact on Alberta and potentially a serious impact on all of us, like it was just another day."
Higgs is pushing to revive the cancelled $15.7 billion Energy East pipeline project that would have moved western crude to refineries in Eastern Canada and an export terminal in Saint John, N.B., but Quebec Premier Francois Legault is opposed to it passing through his province.
Legault recently provoked the ire of western Canadians when he said there was "no social acceptability" in his province for a "dirty energy" pipeline from Alberta.
His comments drew rebukes from pundits and western leaders such as Alberta Premier Rachel Notley, who said Legault "needs to get off his high horse."
Higgs, a former oil executive, is proposing that federal transfer payments be cut to force provinces to develop their natural resources.
"Here's Premier Legault getting an increase, a cheque of more than $13 billion out of the $19 billion in transfer payments, and no real sense of urgency," Higgs said.
He said that as a result of devalued oil, Alberta is losing $80 million a day, and all the provinces — including New Brunswick — should share in the pain through cuts in transfers.
"We should cut what goes to each province, based on our ability to get the resource to market," he said.
Higgs said the debate over Energy East demonstrates how the federation is fractured.
"So with Alberta, Manitoba, Saskatchewan, Ontario and ourselves — we are very much aligned — and Quebec in the middle in this case for transportation from west to east is not only disappointing, it's really shocking," he said. "I saw a willingness through every province but I didn't see that willingness in Quebec."
Higgs said there should be a utility corridor across the country that could house pipelines, power transmission lines, and communication systems. He said, like the national railway, it would be a right-of-way through the country.
Higgs said another area where the federation is fractured is with the way provinces are being treated differently by Ottawa when it comes to the carbon tax, which goes into effect next year. He said it is far from a level playing field, because the provinces are being asked to meet the same targets despite starting from different carbon-emission levels.
New Brunswick is an intervener in legal challenges launched by Saskatchewan and Ontario and has launched its own legal challenge of the carbon tax.
He said the proposed federal backstop — the tax Ottawa will impose in provinces without their own carbon taxes — puts New Brunswick at a disadvantage, and if it remains in place, New Brunswickers will be paying the country's highest tax on gasoline by 2022.
Higgs won a minority government in this fall's election, having run on a platform of fiscal responsibility. The Liberals tried to cling to power, but were defeated in a confidence vote on their throne speech after the three members of the upstart People's Alliance party agreed to support the Tories on confidence votes for at least 18 months.
Looking out his office window at the spectacular view of the provincial legislature and the Saint John River, Higgs said he doesn't take his time as premier for granted.
"I took a picture of the view because I could only be here a short time," he said.
Higgs, a 64-year-old engineer and former finance minister, was hired by Irving Oil a week after he graduated from the University of New Brunswick. He was eventually promoted to director of distribution, overseeing oil transportation across eastern Canada and New England.
Higgs said he needs to administer some tough fiscal medicine right away in order to get quick results. He points to his decision to slash $265 million from capital spending plans the previous Liberal government had in place.
"I do want to make things happen in a hurry, but that's kind of my nature. I like to look at an issue, look at the facts, and then get on with it, and not spend time going around and around."
He is vowing to balance the budget in the spring in an effort to avoid a downgrade of the province's credit rating.
"I do not want to pay more interest. I would rather have $25-30 million a year going into service delivery than interest payments," Higgs said.
Higgs said the province's finances and the creation of a customer service focus for government are his priorities for 2019.

From <

Friday, December 21, 2018

China's efforts in climate change.

I see many items of comment about why we should do more when China is a big problem?
I answer these posts with China's Twin Gorges Dam which has put hundreds of coal-burning plants into shutdown.  Also, I point out they have the best electrical distribution system in the world enabling the whole country to take advantage of Twin Gorges generation.

Here is an important article from a North American oil magazine.>
Last winter, China gobbled up spot cargoes to meet soaring natural gas demand in freezing temperatures, upending the liquefied natural gas (LNG) market, which was thought to be on the verge of oversupply just a year ago.

The Chinese coal-to-gas switch policy for millions of households backfired with severe gas shortages last winter, lifting domestic Chinese LNG prices to more than US$20/mmBtu and driving Asian spot LNG prices up.

This winter, China’s authorities are determined to avoid another natural gas supply crunch. And they are handling supplies much better than past winter—domestic natural gas production is rising, state energy giants are boosting gas pipeline infrastructure and connectivity, and the coal-to-gas switch is more measured and moderate, taking into account expectations of demand.

Chinese natural gas imports are soaring, but procurement for this winter’s demand started early to avoid a last-minute rush and a repeat of the 2017-2018 winter. China’s natural gas storage tanks are close to full. The element of surprise that pushed LNG prices soaring last winter has been eliminated.

This year, weather is also in favor of Chinese authorities. Milder weather a month into the heating season and forecasts for a milder-than-usual winter have led to expectations that China won’t see another supply crunch between December and February.

As a result, spot LNG prices in Asia fell last week to their lowest level in six months, with spot prices for January delivery down US$1 in one week to US$8.80/mmBtu—the lowest price since May this year and down from last year for the first time in 2018. That’s because demand is softer, storage is nearly full, and buyers from China to South Korea to Japan had moved in as early as in September and October to procure LNG cargoes to avoid last year’s rush and surging market prices. A drop in spot LNG prices in Asia is not typical for the winter season in the northern hemisphere. Related: Citi: Oil Prices Are Going Nowhere Next Year

Prices and natural gas demand soared last winter as China was scrambling to procure supplies in a colder-than-usual season. The authorities had to backtrack on the coal ban in some areas to ease the crunch.

This year, milder weather has surely helped, but China started to carefully plan supply, as soon as last winter’s season ended.

Friday, November 30, 2018

The Americans have us boxed in! TIME FOR GLOVES OFF!

The short version:

The US is self-sufficient in oil. It doesn’t need Canada’s oil and more importantly, it does not want Canada shipping into what they consider their marketplace with what they again consider their product.  Meanwhile, we allow them to take our bottom priced oil and ship it onward through their refineries.

On the supply end, they have changed the price structure to a starvation price.  Better the oil be left in the ground.  On the West Coast where we need to get to tidewater shipping, US organizations are financing the environmental groups and have the full support of the Republican northern chapter, the Conservative Party.  24 dollars a barrel oil will not buy rail cars!

I will suggest we change our national anthem back to “Our true land, strong and free” away from the Americanized “Our true north, strong and free.”

The Mechanics:

WASHINGTON (AP) — In a far corner of North Dakota, just a few hundred miles from the proposed path of the Keystone XL pipeline, 84,000 barrels of crude oil per day recently began flowing through a new line that connects the state’s sprawling oilfields to an oil hub in Wyoming.

In West Texas, engineers activated a new pipeline that cuts diagonally across the state to deliver crude from the oil-rich Permian Basin to refineries near Houston. And in a string of towns in Kansas, Iowa and South Dakota, local government officials are scrutinizing the path of pipeline extensions that would pass nearby.

While the Keystone project awaits a final decision, scenes like these are unfolding almost every week in lesser-known developments that have quietly added more than 11,600 miles of pipeline to the nation’s domestic oil network.

Overall, the network has increased by almost a quarter in the last decade. And the work dwarfs Keystone. About 3.3 million barrels per day of capacity have been added since 2012 alone — five times more oil than the Canada-to-Texas Keystone line could carry if it’s ever built.

The pipeline build-out provides a little-noticed counterpoint to the fierce political battle being waged over the 1,179-mile TransCanada project, which is still in limbo seven years after it was proposed. During the long wait for Keystone, the petroleum industry has pushed relentlessly everywhere else to get oil to market more efficiently, and its adversaries have been unable to stop other major pipelines.

“There’s been a lot of growth — we’re really positive on it in general,” said Rob DeSai, an equity analyst with Edward Jones who focuses on the energy industry. “The oil that’s being produced in the U.S., in many cases, it’s basically in the middle of nowhere. You need new infrastructure to get that oil to market.”

Environmental groups have fought Keystone by citing the risk of leaks and the climate-change consequences of fossil fuels. They hope to make cleaner energy options more appealing. Their success has inspired local protest groups to challenge more projects.
But those efforts, while slowing a few pipelines, have not stopped any because the regulatory path is smoother when a pipeline does not cross an international border, as Keystone would.

But those efforts, while slowing a few pipelines, have not stopped any because the regulatory path is smoother when a pipeline does not cross an international border, as Keystone would.

In Minnesota, local opponents succeeded last year in getting state regulators to consider rerouting a 616-mile pipeline proposed by Toronto-based Enbridge around pristine lakes and forests, delaying it for at least a year.

More typical, though, was an Enbridge project to double the capacity of a 285-mile stretch of pipeline in Michigan. Groups like the Michigan Coalition Against Tar Sands fought the proposal, citing a spill in 2010 that caused serious environmental damage. But the Michigan Public Service Commission ruled the project acceptable, and the expansion went ahead.
In Texas, Magellan’s BridgeTex Pipeline, designed to take up to 300,000 barrels of crude per day from Colorado City to refineries in Houston, was recently completed over landowners’ protests about its path. Local officials cleared the way for the company to use the state’s eminent domain law to condemn land for the pipeline. It came online last year.

Some environmentalists acknowledge that changing a pipeline’s route often may be the best they can hope for.
“I’m telling people I don’t think it’s going to stop,” said Paul Stolen, a retired state biologist who has been working with groups opposing the Enbridge project in Minnesota. “I think it’s going to escalate and get bigger.”

In most states, opponents have to prove a project does not serve the public interest or poses a clear environmental threat.

In states that depend on energy jobs, regulators tend to be receptive to the industry. Supporters also argue that transporting oil by pipeline is safer than by train, noting recent accidents and spills.

Since 2012, more than 50 pipeline projects have been approved, completed or are under development, including the just finished 600-mile Enbridge Flanagan South line, which runs through four states.

The recent surge in oil production, from roughly 5 million barrels a day in 2008 to 8.9 million barrels in 2014, has pushed new webs of pipe across regions that until recently had few. Dozens of new lines ranging up to 700 miles connect drill sites in the Upper Midwest to refineries in the region or to hubs in Oklahoma and along the Gulf Coast.

Even TransCanada has been busy. The company unveiled a 200-mile, $600 million proposals late last month that would carry oil from North Dakota’s Bakken field north to Canada and connect to other lines that can take it to the East Coast.

“When Keystone was first announced, I think that was something like a third of (TransCanada’s) expected budget,” said DeSai, the Edward Jones analyst. “TransCanada now has had so many projects that now Keystone’s a much smaller percentage.”

President Barack Obama has said his decision on Keystone, which would take Canadian tar sands oil to Gulf Coast refineries, would depend in part on its possible contribution to global warming. He is awaiting a State Department report on its environmental impact.
But the State Department does not review pipelines that are entirely inside the United States, which is the vast majority of them.

Pipeline companies also soften resistance by paying landowners for access and by assuming all liability for leaks. But some opponents say they believe that the new resistance inspired by Keystone will eventually raise more public concern about oil shipments.

Sunday, November 18, 2018

The Pipeline Conundrum.

The US runs (I think), 7 different bulk oil storage facilities across the US.   Cushing Ill. is the largest of these and draws of ships in the Gulf as well as inland pipelines.  Obama took bold strides in securing the US supply by building over 12,000 miles of new pipeline to hook these storage facilities together. Cushing can now draw off the other facilities like North Dakota, for supply. This takes a huge pressure off the supply and demand scenario visited for so many years. This also gives the reason why the US wants to keep the oil on rail.  After cars are in the US the oil companies can re-route them any place they want.

As I pen this, Cushing Ill. Refinery and storage are expected to be full within the next 10 days or so.  US refineries are producing close to 22,000 barrels per day of the refined product of which they report 5000 barrels per day as being imported.

While this is going on the US is building more pipelines into Mexico to move more natural gas, condensate and crude.  

They can tweak supply while they play market magic. Obama cut off Saudi Arabia from the Gulf states opening the refineries to Mexico. Trump mitigated this.

Condensate out of the Balkan presented a problem. It is high in the condensate.  The Condensate is used to make Airplane gas and Car Gas and to blend P50 and so on. It cannot be re-injected as this simply thins out the crude and adds costs to refining as the condensate is put through several times. Condensate is actually a surplus to the refinery action which is designed to make heating and fuel oil. Not every refinery produces gasoline (condensate)

The export of Condensate from the US was illegal by US law. So, Trump opened up the export of Condensate to Mexico for the first time in US history! Now Mexico can produce all the gasoline blends and diesel blends and will enter into export agreements for the same, something Canada can't do because of the US protestors active in Canada.   I'm pretty sure there will be no resolution in the Eastern pipelines any time soon and I am just as certain a harsher stand will have to be taken against the protesters who don't really know what they are protesting against, or for. 

From <>

Lawyers, go to work!

Our Democracy in these technical times rests on a vibrant and open news media. Stephen Harper removed that from us!  This is why the Conservatives and right-wing Governments took office in New Brunswick and Quebec.  We should be able to set aside these elections and have fair contests. Lawyers have no spare time!

Harper installed Bell Media into Canada.  This company would assume control over our IP providers (costs for services will escalate now) and involved themselves in the mainline printed media in much the same way.   They used this position to block posts critical of the Conservatives allowing an unfair if not illegal votes to take place in eastern Canada.

The Conservatives are after 6 provinces in which case they will be in a position to rewrite our constitution! Their goal is to permanently set Canada as the hewer of wood and the hauler of water.  Any advancements will go to the US Republican body.

All this is being propelled by the LDS (Mormon) Church of Southern Alberta who has spun off The Wild Rose Party, the Alliance party and the Alberta


The Conservative Party of Canada was annexed by the US Republican party in 1908. They used the LDS (Mormon) church in southern Alberta as their vehicle.

John Diefenbaker gave the Avro Aero to the US then, had the prototype destroyed costing some 47,000 jobs in Canada, mostly in Ontario. This was the only supersonic fighter platform in the world!  Diefenbaker made sure Canada would never again have an aircraft industry.  He was a Traitor!

Harper and Kenny were thrown out of every trade negotiation they entered into.  No one could be that unlucky!  They were there to throw the advantage to the US!  Making sure, Canada remained subservient.

Harper, sold the Wheat Marketing Board to a private company to fill one of the demands of the US Republicans even though, the dairy farmers in the US were making their own marketing boards to control over production.

All this time, the Conservatives have known the ramifications of climate change and used this knowledge as a divisionary tactic to steal our country from us.

This travesty has gone on long enough!

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